Dynamics of the Urban Heat Island in Lagos Metropolis, Nigeria (1984 to 2013)
Urban Heat Island (UHI) occurs when
cities record higher temperatures than surrounding rural areas due to Land
Use/Land Cover (LULC) modification and anthropogenic heat. In Lagos metropolis,
rapid urbanization has altered LULC, but spatiotemporal UHI dynamics over three
decades remain poorly quantified. This study analyzed UHI dynamics in Lagos
metropolis from 1984 to 2013 using remote sensing data from Landsat Thematic
Mapper (TM) 5, Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (ETM+) 7, and Operational Land
Imager (OLI) 8 imagery. Land Surface Temperature (LST) was retrieved from
thermal bands, and urban–rural extents were delineated through supervised
classification from multispectral bands in GIS. UHI zones were identified using
mean LST thresholds for each time period. Urban built-up area expanded while
rural open land declined, intensifying UHI. Urban LST increased from 24.76°C in
1984 to 28.59°C in 2013, and UHI extent grew from 125.01 km² to 319.38 km², a
155.4% increase. Findings confirm that LULC change driven by urbanization is
the primary driver of UHI intensification in Lagos. Mitigation should
prioritize increasing urban vegetation and high-albedo roofing. Street canyon
design to enhance wind circulation is critical along the Ifako/Ijaye,
Oshodi/Isolo, and Lagos Island corridor.